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16 Aug 2013
Flash: USD maintains constructive view heading into Fed meeting – Westpac
FXstreet.com (New York) - Global FX Strategist Sean Callow at Westpac analyzes outlook of the USD.
Key quotes
“While a broadly held view we remain constructive on the USD multi month as the Fed’s policy stance increasingly decouples from much of the world, as fracking delivers a small but sustained boost to the US trade accounts and as trend growth in the EM continues to cool.”
“However, it’s not clear that the topside for the USD index can gather much momentum into next week. If anything week ahead risks looks more two-way - the FOMC minutes are likely to reinforce Fed tapering but the EZ advance PMIs for Aug next week more likely than not to reinforce the message that a recovery of sorts is underway in Europe.”
“September shaping up as a pivotal month for markets with the Sep 18 FOMC, Sep 22 German federal election and the expiry of the US continuing resolution for the budget Oct 1.”
Key quotes
“While a broadly held view we remain constructive on the USD multi month as the Fed’s policy stance increasingly decouples from much of the world, as fracking delivers a small but sustained boost to the US trade accounts and as trend growth in the EM continues to cool.”
“However, it’s not clear that the topside for the USD index can gather much momentum into next week. If anything week ahead risks looks more two-way - the FOMC minutes are likely to reinforce Fed tapering but the EZ advance PMIs for Aug next week more likely than not to reinforce the message that a recovery of sorts is underway in Europe.”
“September shaping up as a pivotal month for markets with the Sep 18 FOMC, Sep 22 German federal election and the expiry of the US continuing resolution for the budget Oct 1.”